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INTRODUCTION

DECISION MAKING FOR DEVELOPMENT

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 DR.VSRS WITH ARTHUR LEWIS 
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WAR FOR WELFARE  (DRVSRS –WFW)
SOURCE : http://drvsrs.com/store/page1.html#11
SUMMARY
What is the origin of  “Strategic Management” leading the world towards Welfare and better living over a period of time ?

This question opens a “Pandora’s Box”. It is significant that it is a key question to open up the knowledge of a world of ignorance, with some believing that strategic management is initiated by science and some as economics and management faculty. The answer is the WAR that gave birth to the concepts of “Strategic Management”. [Note - In Greek mythology, God Zeus – God of intelligence, like the Roman Jupiter - gave a box to “Pandora” (the first intelligent greek woman ever created), with the instructions that she should not open it. By her curiosity she opened it. All the miseries and evils (boxed for the good of the world) flew out to afflict mankind by asking questions, questions and questions].
First of all, the word “STRATEGY” itself is a proprietary property of the war mongers. Any peace loving person will continue his living by synchronizing his mind and body with the environment, the surroundings (including people, geography and the nature) and the nature. But people in conflict do not live in peace at any point of time. They always try to guess the probable movement of the enemies, always plan and innovative ways to over come their enemies. This war motivated innovation is the “Strategic” approach. The war strategies are optimised target hitting experiences and these tactics could be applied to any peace time techno-commercial problems. Hence, they took shape as “Strategic Management Models”. The best contributors are from  the “Mahabharatha war (3,102 BC), Artha Sasthra enunciated by Kautilya  (4th Century BC), the First world war (1914-1918) and the Second world war (1939-1945). Sweden, did not participate in any  war. But gained an economic leap from the war requirements !!!

                                      
 A) BIRTH OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT

These war strategies became useful during the post-war time and took shape as the “Strategic management” concepts. When there is no war, each nation was busy in keeping their people and economy at a reasonable higher level. This is in a crude way, is an “Economic superiority war or Cold war” between the nations. This sequenced the functions of each faculty in a strategic order. The faculty of science innovates (compressed steam can be used to move objects with force). The faculty of engineering made some designs to compress the steam and utilise the moving power for some constructive work  (steam driven devises). The faculty of technology used these designs to make some boilers to make steam, chests to compress it, link to a wheel, levers to control the wheel movement and made it as a gadget to produce and transport (steam driven utilities).  The faculty of economics  worked out the cost and breakeven quantum to bring it to the viable use of the common man.
At this point, every entrepreneur started using the steam power for different utilities and originated the situation of “competition” (a peace time war to grab profits out of the sequence of innovation!!). To compete, progress and become a market leader, there was a need for “strategic tools” and it was management (Mixture of Economics and Social Science).
Now US is supposed to be a leader with the most advanced computer and internet supported “strategic management” methodologies. Harvard, MIT, NASA, Stanford etc.. in US are some of the centres for research and development in “strategic management”. There is no   wonder because USA, irrespective of who is the President, is always involved at any point of time, in some war at any alien locations  !!! This provides a base to innovate more and more advanced “strategic management” methodologies, which is not within the viable opportunity for many other nations. (
Please See  The book “DRVSRS – MOTIVATOR” at http://drvsrs.com/sores/page1.html#6).
                                                           
B) MAHABHARATHA WAR.
The Mahabharata War, the most ancient in the world,  is a critical marker of “Strategic management” guideline for the world, in early Indian history. Modern studies using powerful software that can reconstruct the ancient skies, based on  approximate  conjunction of the planets mentioned in the epic, predict that the war was initiated on Feb 17, 3102 BC. The Mahabharata epic - the text of 100,000 verses - which is a source for the events of the War to be taken as history ? The epic itself claims to have been originally just 8,800 verses composed by Krishna Dvaipayana Vyasa and called the Jaya. Later, it became 24,000 verses, called the Bharata, when it was recited by Vaishampayana. Finally, it was recited as the 100,000 versed epic (the Mahabharata) by Ugrashravas, the son of Lomaharshana. [Note – The names are those of the kings (rulers), rishis (philosophers)  and strategic advisers of  the Indian states during the 3,500 to 2,500 BC period). The war was fought on the plains of Kuruksetra, a district of Northern Indian State of Haryana. Kurukshetra was originally given to an area covered by 48 kosas (land measurement scale used in India)   860 places of pilgrimage related to the Mahabharata exist even today, extending in 29.97N and 76.85E,  It is about 150 km / 100 miles Northwest of Delhi, the Indian capital. The war was a big 3 Weeks battle between the Pandavas (5 brothers depicting good and truth) and Kauravas (100 cousin brothers of Pandavas, depicting the harmful and untruth. NOTE : Vyuham = Army formation]
1) If the enemy attacks like a Flood water flow format(Pralaya Vyuham), with a powerful rushing force method – Attack in a  Tetrahedron format (a polyhedron with  4 plane faces – Chathur buja vyagra Vyuham) structure to split  the impact of forces at 90 degree angles.[Moral – The 90 degree resolution of any force F is F Cos90 = F X 0 = Null. In today’s science this concept is used to stop sea erosion. In management, if the competitor try to capture the market by mass / wide spread advertisements (horizontal consumer brain wash), announce discounts, gifts and economy packs (vertical consumer gains)].

2)
If the enemy attacks in a Snake format (Sarpa Vyuham), with a spiral forward motion – Attack in an Eagle flight (Garuda Vyugam) structure. [Moral – Eagle is the natural and powerful enemy to the snakes. A spiral motion needs curved and wasted ground  force to follow and grab.  Hence   attempt with a random access flying force   to capture the objects from any point on the curve. [Moral - The equivalent strategic management situation is if  a competitor provides incentives to sell the product through  a large volume of  randomly and remotely located retail outlets, then approach with a  multi media Cine/TV advertisement to reach  the consumers at every nook and corner in the nation, through a random approach mass media].
3) If the enemy approaches in a Frog format (Bekha Vyuham) then attack in a Snake formation (Sarpa Vyuham). [Moral – Snake is the natural and powerful  enemy to a frog. Frog jumps and goes forward. This could destroy packets of our resources at random points. Hence a spiral forward motion is recommended to capture the attacking force from any point it lands. The equivalent strategic management situation is if the investment and productive or storage points of a corporate sector are distributed at  random packet locations to provide an economy in operations,  link them by proper spirally formatted information network].
4) If the enemy attacks with large quantum of  fearful fire arms (Agni Vyuham), then nullify it with water jet (Veerya sikhtha jala vyuham) and fire-annihilation (Agni nashika vyuham) techniques [Moral –Fire destroys all objects in its way. Hence it should be stopped at the entry level. The equivalent strategic management situations in a production shop with intensive welding and heat treatment operations,  construct  the roof with water jet nozzles and provide plenty of fire extinguishing tools, both at the entrance and inside.]          
5) If there are some powerful people in the enemy, with ability to alter the war strategies at random and unexpected fashion, then meet them and inform truths (or near truths), which will destroy their mental stability. [Moral – Even though it is an unethical war strategy, it is used in Mahabharatha war. The equivalent strategic management situation is to attract the intelligent and productive persons with the competitors, with more attractive salaries and benefits.This is what happens when a developed national corporate unit opens their production operations in a developing / under developed nation. The labour and technicians desert the domestic sectors and join the foreign unit, due to monetary and other incentive, without knowing their longevity. The square (4 dimensional) approach recommended for strategic management is Sama (Friendly settlement), Dhana (Group Negotiation) Betha (Induct fear) and Dhanda (Beat and fight) in chronological order.] 
6) If the kith, kins, teachers and elders of respect, join the enemy and fight against you, then ignore the worldly affinity and relationships. "Do your duty to fight and win the war and leave the result to an almighty". [Moral – This is the essence of Mahabharatha war in “Bagavath Geetha”, the Bhishma Parva of the Mahabharata epic. Due to differences in recensions they may be numbered in the full text of the Mahabharata as chapters 6.25 to 6.42 or as chapters 6.23 to 6.40. There 700 verses,  This has provided many dynamic management strategies, particularly to the area of man power management. The manpower job appraisal should not be mixed with inter personal relationships. The performer should be rewarded and the non-performer should be warned and motivated to perform well, and if necessary terminated.] Please See the book “SOMA BY DRVSRS” at
http://drvsrs.com/store/page1.html#10 (SOMA = Social Management).
                                                                  C) ARTHA SASTHRA

The ruler of a large empire in India during the 4th Century BC was Chandra Guptha Maurya. He had a Politico-Economic  adviser by name “Kautilya”, He was also known as “Chanakya”. He created a Economics/Management  strategy manual called “Artha Sasthra” with 15 Chapters, 380 sanskrit versus and 4,968 rules. Probably this could be the earliest book in the theory of “strategic management” for a ruler to govern the country skillfully with proper control on the domestic people, be well prepared and be protected form possible wars from the border countries.

1) KNOWLEDGE

Small difference in ability can lead to enormous differences in results. The main aim in one’s career is to identify, acquire and develop these differences, which yield superior results. Knowledge is important. Knowledge is cumulative. Once it exists, it grows. Every new piece of knowledge reveals connections with other areas of knowledge. Each breakthrough in knowledge creates new opportunities that expand and multiply. Thinking is creative. You can create your world by the way you think. Situation and people have the meaning you give them. When you change your thinking, you are changing your life. To take control of your life, you must take control of your mind.
2) PLANNING
By failing to plan, you are planning to fail. Every effective performance is based on thorough preparation. You should be firm about your goal, but flexible about the process of reaching the goal.
3) LEADERSHIP
A great leader shows ability to make decision and act boldly in the face of setbacks and adversity. Power goes to the person who uses it most effectively. Leaders are sensitive to and are aware of the needs, feelings and motivation of those they lead. Foundation of leadership consists of honesty, truthfulness and straight dealing. Leaders develop ability to predict and anticipate the future. Self-discipline is the most important personal quality of a leader.
4) SUCCESS
Most important basis of success in any venture is pragmatism. Do not ask where the new idea came from or who thought of it first. Ask only one question “How does it work ? ”. There are certain basic universal laws. They do not change. Ignorance of these laws is no excuse. .Violation of these laws of forces ends in penalty through underachievement, frustration and failure. Success needs action. Action needs initiative. For sustaining success, initiative to collect the experience and feedback is important. Feedback allows you to take corrective action, which sustains success. For every effect, there is a specific cause. Success is not an accident. Success is not based on chance. Success is not a matter of luck. Success is the result of well thought out actions.

5) NETWORK ADMINISTRATION

Artha sastra points out that any administration cannot be individualistic. It should be relative with Mithra (Friend or Ally) and Vairee (Enemy). Mithra consists of the groups who would come to the support for a peaceful and harmonious administration. Vairees are those who attempt to shatter the peaceful and harmonious administration. Both the alleys and enemies could be from within or in an external location. It should be the duty of the administrator to support a  Mitra, and successfully manipulate and win over a Vairee. The attributes needed to face this situation are Cleverness of Speech, Intelligence, Knowledge of Politics, Memory, Morals and Readiness to provide the resources. The concept of Upeksha or Diplomacy is recommended as an useful strategy to be explored, coupled with a  pragmatic  approach to the essential realities in a given situation.

                                                                      D) WORLD WAR – 1
World War I, also known as the Great War and "The War To End All Wars," was a global military conflict which took place primarily in Europe between 1914 and 1918. The Allied Powers, led by France, Imperial Russia, Britain, and, from 1917 on, the United States, defeated the Central Powers, led by the Austro-Hungarian, German, Ottoman, and Bulgarian Empires. Italy joined the Allies in 1915, and Imperial Russia withdrew in 1917. The war 1 created 33 strategic concepts, to create strategic management approach during the post war period. The most significant are –
1) The Polarity Strategy. Declare War on Your Enemies :  To fight you must know and identify your opponents. This includes primarily define, test and maintain  your focus. (Moral – Be alert on competition. Identify their products, strength and weaknesses. If necessary, buy their products, test and compare with your product quality and performance).

2) The Counterbalance Strategy.
Amidst the Turmoil of Events, do not lose your presence of mind. (Moral - Even if there are labour problems, competitor leadership, customer dissatisfaction etc.. always analyse think and move towards a recovery solution.).
3) The Death-Ground Strategy. Create a Sense of Urgency and Desperation. Be always ready, be alert and aim to win in 1 attack  (Moral - Always be productive, avoid losses and wastes, conserve the resources,  produce the best in the first attempt itself).
4) The Command-and-Control Strategy.  Avoid the snare (trap) of groupthink. Take command and control. Do not be too authoritarian and not too weak. (Moral – Optimise the combination of centralised and decentralised decision methods. Implement the decision model at the right location and at the right time).
5) The Controlled-Chaos Strategy. Segment Your Forces. (Moral – Divide the labour into task oriented segments. This will optimise  the group of same expertise to work and produce the best qualitative and quantitative outputs.)
6) Transform Your War into a Crusade. Provide plenty of war interests. Create an atmosphere of fighting for something noble — a cause or a need. Respect your troops. (Moral – Provide plenty of morale boosters. Award  incentives for innovative and intelligent performers. Make everybody in each task group feel a pride, in their work achievement).
7) Grand Strategy.  Lose the Battles, But win the war. This was based on the strategy of "Alexander the Great".  Analyse the past wins and losses. Look beyond the enemy. (Moral – In a highly competitive market, to be a volume sales leader, reduce the profit margin, so that price comes down. But sell a large volume assisted by the concept of  demand increase due to reduced price. Say the margin in a product is 10 per piece. Selling 1,000 pieces at 20 = 20,000 Revenue and 10,000 margin. Selling 10,000 pieces at 15 = 150,000 Revenue and 50,000 margin. Loose the margin at unit level, but win the volume to gain more margin at total sales level). Please see :  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_33_Strategies_of_War
 
                                                                    
 E) WORLD WAR – 2
Second World War, was a worldwide military conflict which lasted from 1939 to 1945. World War II was the amalgamation of two conflicts, one starting in Asia as the Second Sino-Japanese War, and the other beginning in Europe with the Invasion of Poland. This global conflict split a majority of the world's nations into two opposing camps: the Allies (the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, the United States of America, and the United Kingdom) and the Axis (Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy and Imperial Japan were part of this military alliance).
In 1939, the British crystallographer and science historian John Desmond Bernal wrote : "Science and warfare have always been most closely linked; in fact, except for a certain portion of the nineteenth century, it may be fairly claimed that the majority of significant technical and scientific advances owe their origin directly to military or naval requirements". World war 2 strategies enunciated with mathematical tools, are the directive guide for many “Strategic management” concepts of today.
The mathematical war strategies were converted for peace time management and productivity as “Operations Research (OR) Techniques”. This creates an Objective function for optimisation or minimisation (Profit increase or Cost reduction). Several equations are made, with  greater than or less than criteria for the resources and their quantum availabilities. Several relationships are made for all the constraints like, time, materials, money etc.. to achieve the objective with equal to, or greater than or less than criteria. All these  complex equations are solved using a “Simplex method” to select the best approach, quantum resources and to avoid all the constraints.  
1) World war 2 applied different  attack  strategies on one target and based on the hit or miss experience, it derived probability numbers for win or loss. This is used in the current day management for machining methods.  (Utility  – To make a smooth centre hole in an automobile cast iron engine block, the options available are boring, internal turning, honing, broaching or fine  grinding. Based on the past quantitative and qualitative output volume probability for each method, as well as their cost economics, the best operating machine and method is selected).
2) The naval command sent a warship with certain number of  escort boats around on a war voyage. If too many boats are set around to increase the safety of the war ship, the enemy radar screen will find the cluster and shoot it. If too few boats are deployed, the  safety of the warship is reduced. Hence they sent different number of boats at different battle locations and found the optimum number of boats that will not be located by the enemy radar as well as the warship is safe.  [Utility – In a manufacturing organization, Raw materials, Semi-finished, and Finished sub components are stored to ensure continuous production and supply. If too less  quantum is stored, then the production will halt, when there is a large demand. This leads to “Stock out cost” (similar to the destruction of the war ship), due loss of customer orders. If  large  quantity is stocked, it will lead to “Inventory carrying cost”, (similar to the enemy radar detectable),  by way of loss in the interest for the blocked money, more warehouse rental to store the large material quantum etc.. Hence an optimum stock quantum could be worked out for each item, by setting the objects, limitations and constraints in an OR model].

                           F) WELFARE  FROM  WARS – SWEDEN – AN EXAMPLE.
In the world history, for a country which never joined or fought the war was Sweden. This indicates the peace loving background of the country,  the pedigree of the domestic population in general and the politicians as well as the ruling members of Sweden, in particular.  But it is amazing to find that the War showered the luck of  economic boost and contributed to the welfare of Sweden !!!
During and after World War I (1914-1918), Sweden remained neutral. As a consequence,  the country benefited from the world-wide demand for Swedish steel, ball bearings, wood pulp, and matches. Post-war prosperity provided the foundations for the social welfare policies, characteristic of modern Sweden.
Foreign policy during 1930s was centered on Soviet and German expansionism, which stimulated abortive efforts at Nordic defence co-operation. Sweden followed a policy of armed neutrality during World War II (1939-1945), and remained non-aligned. Sweden was one of the first non-participants of World War II to join the United Nations (in 1946). This further strengthens the traditional Swedish philosophy of  “Away from war and be in Peace and Prosperity”.
Apart from this, the country tried to stay out of alliances and remain officially neutral during the cold war. The social democratic party held  the government for 44 years (1932-1976), they spent a big part of the 1950s and 1960s in building Folkhemmet (The People's Home), the Swedish welfare state.
The main reason that made this possible, was that Sweden had not participated in World War II, and with an intact industry was able to help re-build Europe in the decades following the war. This led to a large economic upswing in the 50's and 60's. By 1970s the economies of the rest of western Europe, particularly that of West Germany, had been restored. The Swedish economy, was having a large tax funded public sector, with an asset support.
Sweden is one of the richest countries in the world. Both the nation and Stockholm, its capital, are considered the greenest and most livable places on Earth (The Telegraph). The Swedes live in an egalitarian (equality to all) society, which emphasizes the need to provide welfare to all its citizens. In Sweden, the income and wealth are more equally distributed than all other nations in the world, primarily because of a large public sector allotment and a high tax burden. In the 1990s, the people of Sweden were admired for winning the battle against global financial downturn. Today they are again confronting a wave of recessions—this time greater in scope and magnitude.
Moral – Supported by their “No war & Be in Peace” philosophy, Sweden will swim over the recession and emerge back to its economic stability.
References –
1) Book by the author “War for Welfare” at http://drvsrs.com/store/page1.html#11 
2) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Sweden#Absolute_monarchy:_177
3)  "Sweden - Grappling with Economic Upheaval" - By Abdon V. Buena"  at
     http://realtruth.org/articles/090303-003-profile.html?s_kwcid=sweden%20economic|3197607197
    &gclid=CKP2lsud65kCFYR_3god9neiQQ
                                                                      G) BOTTOM LINE
“Necessity is the mother of invention”. In any normal  and peaceful life, the is no motivation or scope for  finding anything new. Any tense situation which need  not be a war, but could be a calamity, competition,  epidemic, shortage of essential needs etc.. force the   people to invent, formulate and apply new products or   processes or methodologies. This is confined and  coined into an army word as “Strategic”.
 

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